FluSurge

RESOURCE DESCRIPTION

FluSurge is a public planning tool for pandemic influenza scenarios that forecasts the weekly hospital resources needed to support a pandemic surge response. It is developed and maintained by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and primarily intended for use by public health and hospital administrators to aid in planning for an influenza pandemic-related surge in demand for hospital resources. FluSurge relies on user-provided input for local population size in three age groups (0-19, 20-64, and 65+ years), available hospital resources (non-ICU beds, ICU beds, and mechanical ventilators), duration of the pandemic (6, 8, or 12 weeks) and the gross clinical attack rate (15%, 25%, or 35%). Based on these inputs, FluSurge estimates the number of people hospitalized, percent hospital bed capacity needed, percent intensive care unit (ICU) capacity needed, and percent ventilator usage per week for the duration of the pandemic. Additionally, FluSurge provides the estimated hospital admissions and deaths per week and total for the minimum, most likely, and maximum severity scenarios. These are based on pessimistic, realistic, and optimistic internal assumptions made for the hospitalization and death rates. Optionally, various underlying assumptions about the healthcare system that are used in the model can also be changed from their default values, such as the average lengths of ICU and non-ICU hospital stays.

BROAD DATA CATEGORIES

• Disease metric

SPECIFIC DATA ELEMENTS

• Disease outbreak (natural)
• Flu